La escuela de los momios

Karolina Muchova v Clara Tauson

Inicio: 2026-06-25 15:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Predicción 65.85%1.52momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.818%
Kelly -2.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.41%65.89%65.85%68.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.441.441.5073.53%69.66%69.69%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Clara Tauson (Visitante)

Predicción 34.15%2.93momio equitativo
EV +2.45%
Ventaja +0.818%
Kelly +1.23%
Crecimiento +0.030%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.82%34.11%34.15%36.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.762.753.0038.46%36.17%36.36%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.45%E +0.818%K +1.23%G +0.030%4.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -0.961%E -0.332%K -0.506%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 15:09
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -10.45%E -7.68%K -29.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -0.961%E -0.332%K -0.506%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 15:08
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -2.54%E -1.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -1.99%E -0.692%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-25 15:10
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.33%E -0.814%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 15:10
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.33%E -0.814%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.86%E -2.64%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.67%E -0.936%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-25 15:09
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.67%E -0.936%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 15:09
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -8.47%E -6.09%K -21.72%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -3.69%E -1.31%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-25 15:10
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:09
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:09
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:10
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:09
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 15:10
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 15:09
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-25 15:10
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.06%E -1.82%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 15:10
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.86%E -2.64%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.40%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 15:10
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-25 15:09
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 15:10
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 15:10
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 15:09
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 15:09
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-25 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-25 15:10
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:10
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:09
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:10
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:10
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.92%EV -6.43%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 15:10
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-25 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-25 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 15:10
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-25 15:09
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-25 15:09
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -8.82%E -3.30%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-25 15:10
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -1.89%E -1.27%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -9.16%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:10
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.50%E -3.58%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-25 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -1.23%E -0.818%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -10.18%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:10
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -1.23%E -0.818%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -10.18%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:10
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.52%E -4.02%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-25 15:10
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.23%E -0.818%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.21%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 15:10
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.86%E -2.64%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.21%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-25 15:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-06-25 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-25 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-06-25 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-06-25 15:10
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-06-25 15:10
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%3.4%2026-06-25 15:10