A Escola das Odds

Karolina Muchova v Clara Tauson

Início: 2026-06-25 15:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Previsão 65.85%1.52odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.818%
Kelly -2.45%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.41%65.89%65.85%68.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.361.441.441.5073.53%69.66%69.69%66.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Clara Tauson (Visitante)

Previsão 34.15%2.93odd justa
EV +2.45%
Vantagem +0.818%
Kelly +1.23%
Crescimento +0.030%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.82%34.11%34.15%36.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.762.753.0038.46%36.17%36.36%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.45%E +0.818%K +1.23%G +0.030%4.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -0.961%E -0.332%K -0.506%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 15:09
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -10.45%E -7.68%K -29.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -0.961%E -0.332%K -0.506%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 15:08
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -2.54%E -1.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -1.99%E -0.692%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-25 15:10
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.33%E -0.814%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 15:10
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.33%E -0.814%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.86%E -2.64%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.67%E -0.936%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-25 15:09
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.67%E -0.936%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 15:09
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -8.47%E -6.09%K -21.72%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -3.69%E -1.31%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-25 15:10
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:09
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:09
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:10
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:09
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 15:10
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 15:09
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-25 15:10
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.06%E -1.82%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 15:10
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.86%E -2.64%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.40%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 15:10
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-25 15:09
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 15:10
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 15:10
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 15:09
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 15:09
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-25 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-25 15:10
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:10
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:09
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:10
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:10
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.92%EV -6.43%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 15:10
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-25 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-25 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 15:10
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-25 15:09
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-25 15:09
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -8.82%E -3.30%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-25 15:10
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -1.89%E -1.27%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -9.16%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:10
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.50%E -3.58%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-25 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -1.23%E -0.818%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -10.18%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:10
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -1.23%E -0.818%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -10.18%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:10
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.52%E -4.02%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-25 15:10
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.23%E -0.818%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.21%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 15:10
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.86%E -2.64%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.21%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-25 15:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-06-25 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-25 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-06-25 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-06-25 15:10
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-06-25 15:10
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%3.4%2026-06-25 15:10