L’École des cotes

Karolina Muchova v Clara Tauson

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-25 15:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Prévision 65.85%1.52cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.818%
Kelly -2.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.41%65.89%65.85%68.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.441.441.5073.53%69.66%69.69%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Clara Tauson (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.15%2.93cote équitable
EV +2.45%
Avantage +0.818%
Kelly +1.23%
Croissance +0.030%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.82%34.11%34.15%36.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.762.753.0038.46%36.17%36.36%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.45%E +0.818%K +1.23%G +0.030%4.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -0.961%E -0.332%K -0.506%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 15:09
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -10.45%E -7.68%K -29.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -0.961%E -0.332%K -0.506%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 15:08
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -2.54%E -1.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -1.99%E -0.692%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-25 15:10
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.33%E -0.814%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 15:10
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.33%E -0.814%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.86%E -2.64%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.67%E -0.936%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-25 15:09
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.67%E -0.936%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 15:09
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -8.47%E -6.09%K -21.72%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -3.69%E -1.31%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-25 15:10
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:09
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:09
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:10
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:09
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 15:10
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 15:09
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 15:10
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-25 15:10
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.06%E -1.82%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 15:10
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.86%E -2.64%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.40%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 15:10
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-25 15:09
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 15:10
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 15:10
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 15:09
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 15:09
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-25 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-25 15:10
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:10
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:09
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:10
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 15:10
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.92%EV -6.43%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 15:10
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-25 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-25 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 15:10
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-25 15:09
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-25 15:09
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -8.82%E -3.30%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-25 15:10
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -1.89%E -1.27%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -9.16%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:10
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.50%E -3.58%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-25 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -1.23%E -0.818%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -10.18%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:10
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -1.23%E -0.818%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -10.18%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:10
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.52%E -4.02%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-25 15:10
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.23%E -0.818%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.21%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 15:10
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.86%E -2.64%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.21%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-25 15:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-06-25 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-25 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-06-25 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-06-25 15:10
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-06-25 15:10
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%3.4%2026-06-25 15:10