Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.77
assuming max odds 2.23
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zizou Bergs (Local): 55.27%; Arthur Fery (Visit): 44.73%. For Arthur Fery (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.23, with an expected value of -0.260%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.17%E -1.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-04 12:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.17%E -1.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 12:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.17%E -1.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 12:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.72%E -1.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 02:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 11:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 12:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 12:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 12:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 12:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 00:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 10:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 12:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-03 15:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 02:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-03 13:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 05:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 11:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 09:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 09:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 09:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 09:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 09:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 09:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 09:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 09:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 09:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 09:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 11:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 09:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 09:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 09:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 09:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 17:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.73%E -2.22%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-03 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 05:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.29%E -2.00%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-03 06:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.63%E -2.67%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 13:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 13:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 12:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.97%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 09:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 12:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-03 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-03 21:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 13:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 13:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -6.59%E -3.90%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 12:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.59%E -3.90%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.260%E -0.117%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 13:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-03 21:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 12:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 12:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.260%E -0.117%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-02 21:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-07-04 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-07-04 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-07-04 13:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-07-04 13:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.33% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.67% | 0.4% | 2026-07-04 13:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 13:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 13:05 |