La escuela de los momios

Zizou Bergs v Arthur Fery

Inicio: 2026-07-04 13:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Predicción 55.27%1.81momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -2.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.58%55.32%55.26%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.731.7760.61%58.13%57.80%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Arthur Fery (Visitante)

Predicción 44.73%2.24momio equitativo
EV -0.260%
Ventaja -0.117%
Kelly -0.211%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.53%44.68%44.74%46.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.102.102.2349.50%47.53%47.62%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.17%E -1.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 12:55
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.17%E -1.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 12:54
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.17%E -1.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:55
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.72%E -1.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 02:45
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 11:40
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 12:50
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 12:54
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 12:50
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 12:55
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 00:45
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 10:40
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 12:55
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 15:15
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 02:45
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-03 13:29
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:55
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:55
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 05:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 11:50
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-03 11:29
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:34
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-03 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-03 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 12:05
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 12:05
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.73%E -2.22%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 21:40
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-03 21:30
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 05:00
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.29%E -2.00%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-03 06:20
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.63%E -2.67%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 13:00
Betr (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 12:55
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 12:05
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.97%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 09:35
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 12:45
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:05
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-03 21:30
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-03 21:30
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 13:05
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 13:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 12:10
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 13:00
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 13:00
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -6.59%E -3.90%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:45
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.59%E -3.90%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 13:00
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:59
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.260%E -0.117%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 13:05
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-03 21:35
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:45
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:45
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:20
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.260%E -0.117%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-02 21:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-07-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-07-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-07-04 13:05
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-07-04 13:05
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 55.33%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.67%0.4%2026-07-04 13:05
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-07-04 13:05
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%3.2%2026-07-04 13:05