مدرسة الاحتمالات

Zizou Bergs v Arthur Fery

البداية: 2026-07-04 13:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Zizou Bergs (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.27%1.81السعر العادل
EV -2.17%
الأفضلية -1.22%
Kelly -2.81%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.58%55.32%55.26%57.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.721.731.7760.61%58.13%57.80%56.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arthur Fery (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.73%2.24السعر العادل
EV -0.260%
الأفضلية -0.117%
Kelly -0.211%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.53%44.68%44.74%46.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.022.102.102.2349.50%47.53%47.62%44.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.17%E -1.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 12:55
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.17%E -1.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 12:54
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.17%E -1.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:55
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.72%E -1.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 02:45
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 11:40
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 12:50
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 12:54
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 12:50
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 12:55
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 00:45
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 10:40
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 12:55
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 15:15
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 02:45
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-03 13:29
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:55
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:55
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 05:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 11:50
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-03 11:29
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:34
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-03 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-03 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 12:05
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 12:05
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.73%E -2.22%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 21:40
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-03 21:30
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 05:00
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.29%E -2.00%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-03 06:20
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.63%E -2.67%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 13:00
Betr (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 12:55
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 12:05
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.97%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 09:35
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 12:45
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:05
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-03 21:30
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-03 21:30
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 13:05
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 13:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 12:10
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 13:00
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 13:00
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -6.59%E -3.90%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:45
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.59%E -3.90%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 13:00
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:59
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.260%E -0.117%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 13:05
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-03 21:35
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:45
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:45
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:20
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.260%E -0.117%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-02 21:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-07-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-07-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-07-04 13:05
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-07-04 13:05
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 55.33%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.67%0.4%2026-07-04 13:05
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-07-04 13:05
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%3.2%2026-07-04 13:05