A Escola das Odds

Zizou Bergs v Arthur Fery

Início: 2026-07-04 13:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Previsão 55.27%1.81odd justa
EV -2.17%
Vantagem -1.22%
Kelly -2.81%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.58%55.32%55.26%57.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.731.7760.61%58.13%57.80%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arthur Fery (Visitante)

Previsão 44.73%2.24odd justa
EV -0.260%
Vantagem -0.117%
Kelly -0.211%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.53%44.68%44.74%46.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.022.102.102.2349.50%47.53%47.62%44.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.17%E -1.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 12:55
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.17%E -1.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 12:54
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.17%E -1.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:55
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.72%E -1.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 02:45
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 11:40
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 12:50
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 12:54
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 12:50
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 12:55
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 00:45
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 10:40
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 12:55
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 15:15
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 02:45
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-03 13:29
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:55
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.82%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:55
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 05:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 11:50
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-03 11:29
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:34
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:35
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-03 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-03 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 12:05
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 12:05
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.73%E -2.22%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 21:40
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-03 21:30
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 05:00
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.29%E -2.00%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-03 06:20
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.63%E -2.67%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 13:00
Betr (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 12:55
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 12:05
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.97%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 09:35
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 12:45
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:05
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-03 21:30
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-03 21:30
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 13:05
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 13:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 12:10
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 13:00
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.03%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 13:00
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -6.59%E -3.90%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:45
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.59%E -3.90%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 13:00
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:59
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.260%E -0.117%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 13:05
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-03 21:35
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:45
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:45
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.69%E -4.61%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:20
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.260%E -0.117%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-02 21:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-07-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-07-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-07-04 13:05
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-07-04 13:05
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 55.33%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.67%0.4%2026-07-04 13:05
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-07-04 13:05
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%3.2%2026-07-04 13:05