Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.43
assuming max odds 1.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yannick Hanfmann (Local): 41.38%; Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visit): 58.62%. For Yannick Hanfmann (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.552%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV +0.552%E +0.227%K +0.386%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -1.93%E -0.814%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.97%E -5.07%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.28%E -1.99%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.97%E -5.07%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.00%E -1.72%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.41%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.41%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.28%E -1.99%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.28%E -1.99%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.07%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.86%E -2.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -6.07%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.38%E -4.67%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.28%E -1.99%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.79%E -4.27%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 09:57 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.79%E -4.27%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.72%E -3.46%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.72%E -3.46%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -0.345%E -0.203%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.10%E -1.26%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.10%E -1.26%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.86%E -2.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -10.21%E -4.70%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -10.21%E -4.70%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.03%E -5.13%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.932%E -0.551%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -11.03%E -5.13%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -1.52%E -0.903%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 1.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 09:57 |