La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Yannick Hanfmann v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Yannick Hanfmann (Local)
Predicción 41.38%2.42momio equitativo
EV +0.552%
Ventaja +0.227%
Kelly +0.386%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.85%41.57%41.29%44.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.272.282.4346.51%43.97%43.86%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visitante)
Predicción 58.62%1.71momio equitativo
EV -0.345%
Ventaja -0.203%
Kelly -0.493%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.99%58.43%58.71%60.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.631.631.7063.69%61.50%61.35%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV +0.552%E +0.227%K +0.386%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -1.93%E -0.814%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.97%E -5.07%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.28%E -1.99%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| ReBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetAnything | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.97%E -5.07%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.00%E -1.72%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.41%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.41%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.28%E -1.99%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.28%E -1.99%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Bally Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.07%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.86%E -2.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -6.07%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.38%E -4.67%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.28%E -1.99%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.79%E -4.27%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 09:57 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.79%E -4.27%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| GTbets | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.72%E -3.46%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.72%E -3.46%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -0.345%E -0.203%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.10%E -1.26%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.10%E -1.26%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.86%E -2.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| Betsson | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -10.21%E -4.70%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -10.21%E -4.70%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Caesars | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.03%E -5.13%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.932%E -0.551%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -11.03%E -5.13%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -1.52%E -0.903%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| ProphetX | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 1.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Novig | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 09:57 |