La scuola delle quote

Yannick Hanfmann v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Inizio: 2026-06-30 10:05 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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66 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Yannick Hanfmann (Casa)

Previsione 41.38%2.42quota equa
EV +0.552%
Vantaggio +0.227%
Kelly +0.386%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.85%41.57%41.29%44.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.272.282.4346.51%43.97%43.86%41.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Trasferta)

Previsione 58.62%1.71quota equa
EV -0.345%
Vantaggio -0.203%
Kelly -0.493%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.99%58.43%58.71%60.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.631.631.7063.69%61.50%61.35%58.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV +0.552%E +0.227%K +0.386%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 09:59
DraftKings2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -1.93%E -0.814%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.97%E -5.07%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.28%E -1.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Codere (IT)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 10:00
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 09:59
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 09:59
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 10:00
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.97%E -5.07%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:00
MyBookie.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.00%E -1.72%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.41%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.41%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.28%E -1.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 10:00
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:00
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.28%E -1.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:00
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:00
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:00
SportsBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.07%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.86%E -2.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:00
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -6.07%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.38%E -4.67%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 10:00
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.28%E -1.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:59
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:58
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.79%E -4.27%K -11.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 09:57
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.79%E -4.27%K -11.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 10:00
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.72%E -3.46%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 09:59
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.72%E -3.46%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -0.345%E -0.203%K -0.493%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 10:00
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.10%E -1.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.10%E -1.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.86%E -2.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 09:58
Betsson2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -10.21%E -4.70%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:00
NordicBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -10.21%E -4.70%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.03%E -5.13%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.932%E -0.551%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -11.03%E -5.13%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -1.52%E -0.903%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-06-30 09:59
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.3%2026-06-30 09:57