L’École des cotes

Yannick Hanfmann v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 10:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Yannick Hanfmann (Local)

Prévision 41.38%2.42cote équitable
EV +0.552%
Avantage +0.227%
Kelly +0.386%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.85%41.57%41.29%44.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.272.282.4346.51%43.97%43.86%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.62%1.71cote équitable
EV -0.345%
Avantage -0.203%
Kelly -0.493%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.99%58.43%58.71%60.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.631.631.7063.69%61.50%61.35%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV +0.552%E +0.227%K +0.386%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 09:59
DraftKings2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -1.93%E -0.814%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.97%E -5.07%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.28%E -1.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Codere (IT)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 10:00
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 09:59
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 09:59
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 10:00
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.97%E -5.07%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:00
MyBookie.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.00%E -1.72%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.41%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.41%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.28%E -1.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 10:00
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:00
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.28%E -1.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:00
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:00
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.65%E -2.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:00
SportsBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.07%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.86%E -2.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:00
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -6.07%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.38%E -4.67%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 10:00
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.28%E -1.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.86%E -2.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.45%E -2.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:59
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:58
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.79%E -4.27%K -11.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 09:57
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.90%E -3.06%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.79%E -4.27%K -11.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 10:00
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.72%E -3.46%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 09:59
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.72%E -3.46%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.62%E -3.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -0.345%E -0.203%K -0.493%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 10:00
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.10%E -1.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.10%E -1.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.86%E -2.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.96%E -4.07%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.21%E -3.88%K -10.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 09:58
Betsson2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -10.21%E -4.70%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:00
NordicBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -10.21%E -4.70%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -2.69%E -1.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.03%E -5.13%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.932%E -0.551%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -11.03%E -5.13%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -1.52%E -0.903%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-06-30 09:59
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.3%2026-06-30 09:57