Language:English
Ugo Humbert v Zizou Bergs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Prediction 64.87%1.54fair odd
EV -0.742%
Edge -0.485%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.07%64.80%65.04%67.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.451.441.5372.46%68.98%69.44%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zizou Bergs (Visit)
Prediction 35.13%2.85fair odd
EV +3.62%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +1.86%
Growth +0.067%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.49%35.20%34.96%38.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.712.752.9541.67%36.96%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ugo Humbert (Local): 64.87%; Zizou Bergs (Visit): 35.13%. For Zizou Bergs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +3.62%E +1.23%K +1.86%G +0.067% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV +2.92%E +0.996%K +1.51%G +0.044% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +1.16%E +0.403%K +0.618%G +0.007% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +1.16%E +0.403%K +0.618%G +0.007% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 12:38 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.108%E +0.038%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -0.946%E -0.335%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -2.35%E -0.846%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:48 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -4.46%E -1.64%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 12:47 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 12:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -10.47%E -7.59%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -10.47%E -7.59%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -5.51%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 12:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -1.39%E -0.915%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -6.92%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.92%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -7.27%E -2.75%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.97%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.97%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.97%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.67%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.67%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.43%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.43%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.43%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.23%E -5.06%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -10.43%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -10.78%E -4.24%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -10.78%E -4.24%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -10.78%E -4.24%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.19%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.19%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -0.742%E -0.485%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -15.70%E -6.54%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |