La scuola delle quote

Ugo Humbert v Zizou Bergs

Inizio: 2026-06-30 13:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ugo Humbert (Casa)

Previsione 64.87%1.54quota equa
EV -0.742%
Vantaggio -0.485%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.07%64.80%65.04%67.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.451.441.5372.46%68.98%69.44%65.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Zizou Bergs (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.13%2.85quota equa
EV +3.62%
Vantaggio +1.23%
Kelly +1.86%
Crescita +0.067%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.49%35.20%34.96%38.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.712.752.9541.67%36.96%36.36%33.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +3.62%E +1.23%K +1.86%G +0.067%4.3%2026-06-30 12:49
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV +2.92%E +0.996%K +1.51%G +0.044%5.1%2026-06-30 12:49
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +1.16%E +0.403%K +0.618%G +0.007%6.2%2026-06-30 12:49
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +1.16%E +0.403%K +0.618%G +0.007%6.2%2026-06-30 12:38
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.108%E +0.038%K +0.058%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:29
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -0.946%E -0.335%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-30 12:40
Coolbet1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-30 12:39
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:39
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 12:39
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 12:50
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 12:49
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 12:49
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 12:50
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 12:49
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 12:50
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 12:50
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 12:49
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -2.35%E -0.846%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:50
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 12:39
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 12:40
ReBet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 12:39
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 12:29
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:39
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:40
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:40
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:48
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:39
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 12:49
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 12:49
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 12:49
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 12:50
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 12:49
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 12:49
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -4.46%E -1.64%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 12:47
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 12:29
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 12:19
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 12:40
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 12:39
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 12:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -10.47%E -7.59%K -27.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 12:50
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -10.47%E -7.59%K -27.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 12:49
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -5.51%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 12:38
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -1.39%E -0.915%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -6.92%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-30 12:50
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.92%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 12:50
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -7.27%E -2.75%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:49
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.97%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:49
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.97%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:49
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.97%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:49
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 12:49
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 12:49
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 12:49
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.67%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 12:29
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.67%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 12:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.43%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:29
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.43%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:29
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.43%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:09
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.23%E -5.06%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -10.43%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 12:50
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -10.78%E -4.24%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 12:49
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -10.78%E -4.24%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 12:50
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -10.78%E -4.24%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 12:49
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.19%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:49
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.19%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:48
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -0.742%E -0.485%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -15.70%E -6.54%K -11.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 12:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-30 12:50
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-30 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-30 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-30 12:39
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-06-30 12:50
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%2.1%2026-06-30 12:50
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-06-30 12:50