مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ugo Humbert v Zizou Bergs

البداية: 2026-06-30 13:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ugo Humbert (المضيف)

التنبؤ 64.87%1.54السعر العادل
EV -0.742%
الأفضلية -0.485%
Kelly -1.40%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.07%64.80%65.04%67.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.381.451.441.5372.46%68.98%69.44%65.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Zizou Bergs (الضيف)

التنبؤ 35.13%2.85السعر العادل
EV +3.62%
الأفضلية +1.23%
Kelly +1.86%
النمو +0.067%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.49%35.20%34.96%38.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.712.752.9541.67%36.96%36.36%33.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +3.62%E +1.23%K +1.86%G +0.067%4.3%2026-06-30 12:49
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV +2.92%E +0.996%K +1.51%G +0.044%5.1%2026-06-30 12:49
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +1.16%E +0.403%K +0.618%G +0.007%6.2%2026-06-30 12:49
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +1.16%E +0.403%K +0.618%G +0.007%6.2%2026-06-30 12:38
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.108%E +0.038%K +0.058%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:29
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -0.946%E -0.335%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-30 12:40
Coolbet1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-30 12:39
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:39
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 12:39
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 12:50
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 12:49
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 12:49
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 12:50
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 12:49
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 12:50
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 12:50
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 12:49
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -2.35%E -0.846%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:50
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 12:39
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 12:40
ReBet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 12:39
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 12:29
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:39
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:40
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:40
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:48
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:39
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 12:49
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 12:49
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 12:49
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 12:50
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 12:49
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 12:49
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -4.46%E -1.64%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 12:47
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 12:29
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 12:19
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 12:40
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 12:39
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 12:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -10.47%E -7.59%K -27.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 12:50
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -10.47%E -7.59%K -27.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 12:49
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -5.51%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 12:38
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -1.39%E -0.915%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -6.92%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-30 12:50
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.92%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 12:50
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -7.27%E -2.75%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:49
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.97%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:49
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.97%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:49
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.97%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:49
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 12:49
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 12:49
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 12:49
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.67%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 12:29
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.67%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 12:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.43%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:29
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.43%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:29
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.43%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:09
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.23%E -5.06%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -10.43%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 12:50
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -10.78%E -4.24%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 12:49
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -10.78%E -4.24%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 12:50
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -10.78%E -4.24%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 12:49
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.19%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:49
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.19%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:48
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -0.742%E -0.485%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -15.70%E -6.54%K -11.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 12:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-30 12:50
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-30 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-30 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-30 12:39
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-06-30 12:50
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%2.1%2026-06-30 12:50
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-06-30 12:50