La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ugo Humbert v Zizou Bergs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Predicción 64.87%1.54momio equitativo
EV -0.742%
Ventaja -0.485%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.07%64.80%65.04%67.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.451.441.5372.46%68.98%69.44%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Zizou Bergs (Visitante)
Predicción 35.13%2.85momio equitativo
EV +3.62%
Ventaja +1.23%
Kelly +1.86%
Crecimiento +0.067%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.49%35.20%34.96%38.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.712.752.9541.67%36.96%36.36%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +3.62%E +1.23%K +1.86%G +0.067% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV +2.92%E +0.996%K +1.51%G +0.044% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +1.16%E +0.403%K +0.618%G +0.007% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +1.16%E +0.403%K +0.618%G +0.007% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 12:38 |
| BetRivers | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +0.108%E +0.038%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -0.946%E -0.335%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| Casumo | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Unibet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| betPARX | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.65%E -0.589%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -2.35%E -0.846%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| ReBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| BetUS | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:48 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.18%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -4.46%E -1.64%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 12:47 |
| BetAnything | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 12:19 |
| GTbets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -10.47%E -7.59%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -10.47%E -7.59%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -5.51%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 12:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -1.39%E -0.915%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -6.92%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.92%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -7.27%E -2.75%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.97%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.97%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.97%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.67%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.67%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.43%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.43%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| TAB | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.43%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:09 |
| Fliff | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.23%E -5.06%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -10.43%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -10.78%E -4.24%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Betsson | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -10.78%E -4.24%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -10.78%E -4.24%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.19%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
| Caesars | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.19%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -0.742%E -0.485%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -15.70%E -6.54%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 12:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| ProphetX | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| Novig | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 12:50 |