语言:简体中文
Thiago Agustin Tirante v Fabian Marozsan
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Thiago Agustin Tirante (主队)
预测 35.05%2.85公平赔率
EV +0.254%
优势 +0.089%
Kelly +0.136%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.86
博彩公司预测分布
33.33%34.98%35.02%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.722.752.8639.22%36.70%36.36%34.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
Fabian Marozsan (客队)
预测 64.95%1.54公平赔率
EV -2.58%
优势 -1.72%
Kelly -5.16%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.50
博彩公司预测分布
62.96%65.02%64.98%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.421.451.441.5070.42%68.94%69.44%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Thiago Agustin Tirante (主队)：35.05%；Fabian Marozsan (客队)：64.95%。 对于“Thiago Agustin Tirante (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.85。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.86，对应+0.254%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV +0.254%E +0.089%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.447%E -0.158%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -1.50%E -0.533%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.23%E -2.17%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:37 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -2.55%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.23%E -2.17%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -2.55%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -2.90%E -1.05%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -3.25%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.23%E -2.17%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 14:36 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 14:36 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 14:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 14:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.81%E -2.97%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.81%E -2.97%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.58%E -1.72%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-29 14:31 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.58%E -1.72%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.58%E -1.72%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-29 14:38 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 1.1% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90% | 1.8% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Novig◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43% | 2.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |