La scuola delle quote

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Fabian Marozsan

Inizio: 2026-06-29 14:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Casa)

Previsione 35.05%2.85quota equa
EV +0.254%
Vantaggio +0.089%
Kelly +0.136%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.33%34.98%35.02%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.722.752.8639.22%36.70%36.36%34.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fabian Marozsan (Trasferta)

Previsione 64.95%1.54quota equa
EV -2.58%
Vantaggio -1.72%
Kelly -5.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.96%65.02%64.98%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.421.451.441.5070.42%68.94%69.44%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV +0.254%E +0.089%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 14:40
FanDuel2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.447%E -0.158%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 14:40
SportsBet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -1.50%E -0.533%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.23%E -2.17%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 14:40
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 14:35
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 14:34
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:37
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 14:40
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -2.55%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.23%E -2.17%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 14:41
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -2.55%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 14:40
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -2.90%E -1.05%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 14:40
BetAnything2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -3.25%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 14:41
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.23%E -2.17%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 14:40
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 14:41
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 14:40
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:40
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
TAB2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 14:36
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 14:36
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 14:40
MyBookie.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 14:39
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 14:40
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:34
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:40
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:40
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:39
NordicBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.81%E -2.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 14:40
Betsson2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.81%E -2.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 14:40
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:40
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:40
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.58%E -1.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 14:41
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 14:31
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.58%E -1.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:40
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.58%E -1.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:40
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-29 14:38
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-29 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-29 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-06-29 14:41
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-06-29 14:40
ProphetX2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%1.1%2026-06-29 14:40
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%1.8%2026-06-29 14:41
Novig2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43%2.6%2026-06-29 14:40