L’École des cotes

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Fabian Marozsan

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 14:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)

Prévision 35.05%2.85cote équitable
EV +0.254%
Avantage +0.089%
Kelly +0.136%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.33%34.98%35.02%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.722.752.8639.22%36.70%36.36%34.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fabian Marozsan (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.95%1.54cote équitable
EV -2.58%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -5.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.96%65.02%64.98%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.451.441.5070.42%68.94%69.44%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV +0.254%E +0.089%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 14:40
FanDuel2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.447%E -0.158%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 14:40
SportsBet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -1.50%E -0.533%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.23%E -2.17%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 14:40
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 14:35
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 14:34
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:37
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 14:40
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -2.55%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.23%E -2.17%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 14:41
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -2.55%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 14:40
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -2.90%E -1.05%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 14:40
BetAnything2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -3.25%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 14:41
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.23%E -2.17%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 14:40
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 14:41
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 14:40
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:40
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
TAB2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 14:36
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 14:36
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 14:40
MyBookie.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 14:39
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 14:40
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:34
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:40
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:40
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:39
NordicBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.81%E -2.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 14:40
Betsson2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.81%E -2.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 14:40
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:40
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:40
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.58%E -1.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 14:41
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 14:31
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.58%E -1.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:40
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.58%E -1.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:40
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-29 14:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-29 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-29 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-06-29 14:41
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-06-29 14:40
ProphetX2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%1.1%2026-06-29 14:40
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%1.8%2026-06-29 14:41
Novig2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43%2.6%2026-06-29 14:40