Język:Polski
Thiago Agustin Tirante v Fabian Marozsan
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 35.05%2.85kurs godziwy
EV +0.254%
Przewaga +0.089%
Kelly +0.136%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.86
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
33.33%34.98%35.02%37.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.552.722.752.8639.22%36.70%36.36%34.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Fabian Marozsan (Goście)
Prognoza 64.95%1.54kurs godziwy
EV -2.58%
Przewaga -1.72%
Kelly -5.16%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.50
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
62.96%65.02%64.98%66.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.421.451.441.5070.42%68.94%69.44%66.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Gospodarze): 35.05%; Fabian Marozsan (Goście): 64.95%. Dla wyniku Thiago Agustin Tirante (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.85. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.86, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.254%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV +0.254%E +0.089%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.447%E -0.158%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -1.50%E -0.533%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.23%E -2.17%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 14:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:37 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -2.55%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.23%E -2.17%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -2.55%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -2.90%E -1.05%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -3.25%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.23%E -2.17%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 14:36 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 14:36 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 14:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 14:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.81%E -2.97%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.81%E -2.97%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.58%E -1.72%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-29 14:31 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.58%E -1.72%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.58%E -1.72%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-29 14:38 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 1.1% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90% | 1.8% | 2026-06-29 14:41 |
| Novig◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43% | 2.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |