Szkoła Kursów

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Fabian Marozsan

Początek: 2026-06-29 14:45 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 35.05%2.85kurs godziwy
EV +0.254%
Przewaga +0.089%
Kelly +0.136%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.86

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
33.33%34.98%35.02%37.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.552.722.752.8639.22%36.70%36.36%34.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Fabian Marozsan (Goście)

Prognoza 64.95%1.54kurs godziwy
EV -2.58%
Przewaga -1.72%
Kelly -5.16%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
62.96%65.02%64.98%66.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.421.451.441.5070.42%68.94%69.44%66.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
GTbets2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV +0.254%E +0.089%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 14:40
FanDuel2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.447%E -0.158%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 14:40
SportsBet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -1.50%E -0.533%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.23%E -2.17%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 14:40
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 14:35
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 14:34
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:37
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 14:40
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -2.55%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.23%E -2.17%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 14:41
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -2.55%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 14:40
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -2.90%E -1.05%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 14:40
BetAnything2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -3.25%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 14:41
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.23%E -2.17%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 14:40
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 14:41
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 14:40
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:40
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
TAB2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 14:36
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 14:36
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 14:40
MyBookie.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 14:39
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 14:40
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:34
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:40
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:40
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:39
NordicBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.81%E -2.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 14:40
Betsson2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.81%E -2.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 14:40
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:40
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:40
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.58%E -1.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 14:41
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 14:31
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.58%E -1.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:40
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.58%E -1.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:40
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-29 14:38
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-29 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-29 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-06-29 14:41
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-06-29 14:40
ProphetX2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%1.1%2026-06-29 14:40
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%1.8%2026-06-29 14:41
Novig2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43%2.6%2026-06-29 14:40