مدرسة الاحتمالات

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Fabian Marozsan

البداية: 2026-06-29 14:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Thiago Agustin Tirante (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.05%2.85السعر العادل
EV +0.254%
الأفضلية +0.089%
Kelly +0.136%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.86

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.33%34.98%35.02%37.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.552.722.752.8639.22%36.70%36.36%34.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Fabian Marozsan (الضيف)

التنبؤ 64.95%1.54السعر العادل
EV -2.58%
الأفضلية -1.72%
Kelly -5.16%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
62.96%65.02%64.98%66.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.421.451.441.5070.42%68.94%69.44%66.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV +0.254%E +0.089%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 14:40
FanDuel2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.447%E -0.158%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 14:40
SportsBet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -1.50%E -0.533%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.23%E -2.17%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-29 14:40
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 14:35
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 14:34
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:37
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.85%E -0.661%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 14:40
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -2.55%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.23%E -2.17%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 14:41
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -2.55%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 14:40
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -2.90%E -1.05%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 14:40
BetAnything2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -3.25%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 14:41
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.23%E -2.17%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 14:40
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 14:41
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 14:40
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:40
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
TAB2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 14:36
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 14:36
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 14:40
MyBookie.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 14:39
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 14:40
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:34
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.13%E -4.98%K -16.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:40
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:40
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:40
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:39
NordicBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.81%E -2.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 14:40
Betsson2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -7.81%E -2.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 14:40
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:40
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:40
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.58%E -1.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 14:41
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:40
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 14:31
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.58%E -1.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:40
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.58%E -1.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:40
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-29 14:38
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-29 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-29 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-06-29 14:41
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-06-29 14:40
ProphetX2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%1.1%2026-06-29 14:40
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%1.8%2026-06-29 14:41
Novig2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43%2.6%2026-06-29 14:40