Language:English
Sho Shimabukuro v Jaime Faria
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sho Shimabukuro (Local)
Prediction 51.99%1.92fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.92%52.01%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.831.831.8857.80%54.59%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jaime Faria (Visit)
Prediction 48.01%2.08fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%48.08%47.99%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.961.952.0453.48%51.03%51.28%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sho Shimabukuro (Local): 51.99%; Jaime Faria (Visit): 48.01%. For Jaime Faria (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.04, with an expected value of -2.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.26%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -3.02%E -1.50%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.26%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.07%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.07%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.22%E -5.47%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.46%E -2.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.46%E -2.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.46%E -2.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.06%E -1.01%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.82%E -4.07%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.34%E -2.36%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.34%E -2.36%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.90%E -3.01%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.38%E -2.95%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.02%E -1.50%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.38%E -2.95%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.02%E -1.50%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.38%E -2.95%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.02%E -1.50%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -5.38%E -2.95%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.82%E -4.07%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.90%E -3.26%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.90%E -3.26%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 09:57 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.94%E -3.87%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.94%E -3.87%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.05%E -5.81%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 2.5% | 2026-06-30 09:57 |