Sho Shimabukuro v Jaime Faria

Inicio: 2026-06-30 10:05 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (22 en el análisis )

52%

48%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sho Shimabukuro (Local)

Predicción 51.99%1.92momio equitativo

EV -2.26%

Ventaja -1.20%

Kelly -2.56%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

50.00%51.92%52.01%53.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.731.831.831.8857.80%54.59%54.64%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jaime Faria (Visitante)

Predicción 48.01%2.08momio equitativo

EV -2.06%

Ventaja -1.01%

Kelly -1.98%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

46.38%48.08%47.99%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.871.961.952.0453.48%51.03%51.28%49.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Pinnacle	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.26%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -3.02%E -1.50%K -2.96%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-06-30 09:59
GTbets	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.26%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.07%K -8.50%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 10:00
Neds	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.07%K -8.50%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 09:59
Caesars	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.22%E -5.47%K -11.75%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (UK)	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.46%E -2.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-06-30 09:59
Codere (IT)	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.46%E -2.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-06-30 10:00
ReBet	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.46%E -2.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-06-30 09:59
Coolbet	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.06%E -1.01%K -1.98%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-06-30 09:59
MyBookie.ag	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-30 09:59
Betway	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-30 10:00
TAB	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-30 09:59
William Hill	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 10:00
Casumo	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 09:59
TABtouch	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 09:59
LeoVegas	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 09:59
Grosvenor	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 09:59
BetRivers	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 09:58
Unibet (SE)	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 09:59
Bally Bet	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 10:00
betPARX	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 10:00
ATG (SE)	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 09:59
Svenska Spel	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 10:00
PlayUp	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.90%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 09:59
DraftKings	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.90%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 09:59
Dabble (AU)	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.82%E -4.07%K -8.50%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-30 09:59
BetMGM	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-30 09:59
Winamax (DE)	1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.34%E -2.36%K -5.16%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-30 10:00
Marathon Bet	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.34%E -2.36%K -5.16%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.90%E -3.01%K -6.15%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-30 09:59
BoyleSports	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-30 09:59
Bovada	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (FR)	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 09:59
Everygame	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 09:59
Hard Rock Bet	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 09:59
Virgin Bet	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.90%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-30 09:59
LiveScore Bet	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.90%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-30 09:59
Coral	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-30 09:59
BetAnything	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-30 09:59
BetUS	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-30 09:59
1xBet	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.38%E -2.95%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.02%E -1.50%K -2.96%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-30 10:00
FanDuel	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.38%E -2.95%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.02%E -1.50%K -2.96%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-30 09:59
SportsBet	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.38%E -2.95%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.02%E -1.50%K -2.96%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-30 10:00
PMU (FR)	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -5.38%E -2.95%K -6.56%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.82%E -4.07%K -8.50%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-30 09:59
Betr (AU)	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.90%E -3.26%K -7.28%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-30 10:00
NetBet (FR)	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.90%E -3.26%K -7.28%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.90%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-30 10:00
Paddy Power	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 09:59
betfred_uk	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 09:58
Sky Bet	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 09:59
Fanatics	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 10:00
theScore Bet	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 09:59
Mr Green (SE)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 09:59
888sport (SE)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 09:59
PointsBet (AU)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-30 09:59
Betclic (FR)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-30 09:57
Winamax (FR)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-30 10:00
Tipico (DE)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-30 10:00
Bet Victor	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-06-30 09:58
NordicBet	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.94%E -3.87%K -8.78%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-30 09:59
Betsson	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.94%E -3.87%K -8.78%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-30 10:00
888sport	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.05%E -5.81%K -13.77%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-30 09:59

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%	0.6%	2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%	0.6%	2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%	0.6%	2026-06-30 09:59
Matchbook	1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%	0.6%	2026-06-30 10:00
ProphetX	1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%	0.6%	2026-06-30 10:00
Smarkets	1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%	2.0%	2026-06-30 10:00
Novig	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%	2.5%	2026-06-30 09:57