Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sho Shimabukuro v Jaime Faria

Inizio: 2026-06-30 10:05 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sho Shimabukuro (Casa)

Previsione 51.99%1.92quota equa
EV -2.26%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -2.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%51.92%52.01%53.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.831.831.8857.80%54.59%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Jaime Faria (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.01%2.08quota equa
EV -2.06%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.38%48.08%47.99%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.871.961.952.0453.48%51.03%51.28%49.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Sho Shimabukuro (Casa): 51.99%; Jaime Faria (Trasferta): 48.01%. Per Jaime Faria (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.08. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.04, con un valore atteso del -2.06%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.26%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -3.02%E -1.50%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-30 09:59
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.26%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.07%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.07%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.22%E -5.47%K -11.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.46%E -2.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.46%E -2.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 10:00
ReBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.46%E -2.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.06%E -1.01%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 09:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:00
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:58
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.82%E -4.07%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.34%E -2.36%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.34%E -2.36%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.90%E -3.01%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 09:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.38%E -2.95%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.02%E -1.50%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 10:00
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.38%E -2.95%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.02%E -1.50%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 09:59
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.38%E -2.95%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.02%E -1.50%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 10:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -5.38%E -2.95%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.82%E -4.07%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.90%E -3.26%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.90%E -3.26%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 10:00
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:58
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:57
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 09:58
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.94%E -3.87%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.94%E -3.87%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 10:00
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.05%E -5.81%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-30 10:00
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-06-30 09:57