L’École des cotes

Sho Shimabukuro v Jaime Faria

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 10:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sho Shimabukuro (Local)

Prévision 51.99%1.92cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.92%52.01%53.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.831.831.8857.80%54.59%54.64%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jaime Faria (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.01%2.08cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.38%48.08%47.99%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.871.961.952.0453.48%51.03%51.28%49.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.26%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -3.02%E -1.50%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-30 09:59
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.26%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.07%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.07%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.22%E -5.47%K -11.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.46%E -2.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.46%E -2.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 10:00
ReBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.46%E -2.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.06%E -1.01%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 09:59
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:00
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:58
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.86%E -3.54%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.82%E -4.07%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.34%E -2.36%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.34%E -2.36%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.90%E -3.01%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 09:59
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.38%E -2.95%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.02%E -1.50%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 10:00
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.38%E -2.95%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.02%E -1.50%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 09:59
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.38%E -2.95%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.02%E -1.50%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 10:00
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -5.38%E -2.95%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.82%E -4.07%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Betr (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.90%E -3.26%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:00
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.90%E -3.26%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.34%E -3.80%K -7.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 10:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:58
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:00
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 09:59
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:57
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:00
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.42%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 09:58
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.94%E -3.87%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.94%E -3.87%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 10:00
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.05%E -5.81%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-30 10:00
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-06-30 09:57