Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Roberto Bautista Agut v Joao Fonseca

Início: 2026-06-29 13:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Roberto Bautista Agut (Local)

Previsão 21.67%4.62odd justa
EV +8.33%
Vantagem +1.67%
Kelly +2.08%
Crescimento +0.173%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.96%21.60%21.64%25.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.744.374.405.0026.74%22.89%22.73%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Joao Fonseca (Visitante)

Previsão 78.33%1.28odd justa
EV +0.268%
Vantagem +0.210%
Kelly +0.959%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.50%78.40%78.36%81.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.171.211.211.2885.47%82.73%82.64%78.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Roberto Bautista Agut (Local): 21.67%; Joao Fonseca (Visitante): 78.33%. Para Roberto Bautista Agut (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.62. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.33%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +8.33%E +1.67%K +2.08%G +0.173%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.35%E -7.14%K -49.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 18:39
Pinnacle🎯4.72I 21.19%NM 20.54%EV +2.26%E +0.479%K +0.608%G +0.014%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.46%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 13:01
DraftKings🎯4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV +1.39%E +0.298%K +0.379%G +0.005%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.59%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 13:00
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 12:51
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 08:29
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.57%E -6.41%K -42.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 01:39
GTbets🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%EV -1.42%E -0.313%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 01:39
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.86%E -2.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-29 12:50
ReBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 12:50
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 13:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 12:50
Codere (IT)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 12:51
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 12:00
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 14:58
Everygame🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 12:58
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 14:59
BetUS🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 14:39
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.35%E -7.14%K -49.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 13:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.35%E -7.14%K -49.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 13:01
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.35%E -7.14%K -49.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 13:00
MyBookie.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:59
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:01
BetRivers🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
Grosvenor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
LeoVegas🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:01
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:01
Casumo🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
Bally Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 08:28
Fanatics🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 12:50
BetAnything🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 13:00
Unibet (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 12:51
Fliff🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 12:51
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -6.19%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 12:50
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.19%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 02:56
NordicBet🎯4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -6.41%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 13:00
Betsson🎯4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -6.41%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 13:00
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:40
NetBet (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.78%E -5.70%K -35.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:51
PlayUp🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 13:00
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:00
Virgin Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:00
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:50
PMU (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:50
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:50
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:01
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 12:50
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 12:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -10.09%E -2.43%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 13:00
Dabble (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:00
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:06
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 00:59
Betclic (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.57%E -6.41%K -42.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 12:58
1xBet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -18.97%E -5.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV +0.268%E +0.210%K +0.959%G +0.003%4.9%2026-06-29 13:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-06-29 12:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-29 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-29 13:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-29 13:01
ProphetX5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-06-29 13:01
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%2.8%2026-06-29 13:01
Novig4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%4.6%2026-06-29 13:00