Szkoła Kursów

Roberto Bautista Agut v Joao Fonseca

Początek: 2026-06-29 13:05 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Roberto Bautista Agut (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 21.67%4.62kurs godziwy
EV +8.33%
Przewaga +1.67%
Kelly +2.08%
Wzrost +0.173%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.96%21.60%21.64%25.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.744.374.405.0026.74%22.89%22.73%20.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Joao Fonseca (Goście)

Prognoza 78.33%1.28kurs godziwy
EV +0.268%
Przewaga +0.210%
Kelly +0.959%
Wzrost +0.003%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.28

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
74.50%78.40%78.36%81.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.171.211.211.2885.47%82.73%82.64%78.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +8.33%E +1.67%K +2.08%G +0.173%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.35%E -7.14%K -49.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 18:39
Pinnacle4.72I 21.19%NM 20.54%EV +2.26%E +0.479%K +0.608%G +0.014%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.46%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 13:01
DraftKings4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV +1.39%E +0.298%K +0.379%G +0.005%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.59%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 13:00
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 12:51
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 08:29
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:50
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.57%E -6.41%K -42.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 01:39
GTbets4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%EV -1.42%E -0.313%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 01:39
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.86%E -2.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-29 12:50
ReBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 12:50
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 13:00
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 12:50
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 12:51
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 12:00
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 14:58
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 12:58
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 14:59
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 14:39
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.35%E -7.14%K -49.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 13:01
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.35%E -7.14%K -49.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 13:01
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.35%E -7.14%K -49.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 13:00
MyBookie.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:59
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:01
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
TABtouch4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
LeoVegas4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:01
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:01
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
betPARX4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
Svenska Spel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
Bally Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:01
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 08:28
Fanatics4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 12:50
BetAnything4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 13:00
Unibet (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 12:51
Fliff4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 12:51
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -6.19%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 12:50
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.19%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 02:56
NordicBet4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -6.41%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 13:00
Betsson4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -6.41%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 13:00
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:40
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.78%E -5.70%K -35.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 12:50
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:51
PlayUp4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 13:00
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:50
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:00
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:00
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:50
PMU (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:50
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:50
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:01
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 12:50
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 12:50
PointsBet (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -10.09%E -2.43%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 13:00
Dabble (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:00
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:06
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 00:59
Betclic (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.57%E -6.41%K -42.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 12:58
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -18.97%E -5.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV +0.268%E +0.210%K +0.959%G +0.003%4.9%2026-06-29 13:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-06-29 12:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-29 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-29 13:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-29 13:01
ProphetX5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-06-29 13:01
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%2.8%2026-06-29 13:01
Novig4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%4.6%2026-06-29 13:00