Język:Polski
Roberto Bautista Agut v Joao Fonseca
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Roberto Bautista Agut (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 21.67%4.62kurs godziwy
EV +8.33%
Przewaga +1.67%
Kelly +2.08%
Wzrost +0.173%
przy maksymalnym kursie 5.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.96%21.60%21.64%25.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.744.374.405.0026.74%22.89%22.73%20.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Joao Fonseca (Goście)
Prognoza 78.33%1.28kurs godziwy
EV +0.268%
Przewaga +0.210%
Kelly +0.959%
Wzrost +0.003%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.28
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
74.50%78.40%78.36%81.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.171.211.211.2885.47%82.73%82.64%78.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Roberto Bautista Agut (Gospodarze): 21.67%; Joao Fonseca (Goście): 78.33%. Dla wyniku Roberto Bautista Agut (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.62. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 5.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +8.33%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +8.33%E +1.67%K +2.08%G +0.173% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.35%E -7.14%K -49.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-27 18:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.54%EV +2.26%E +0.479%K +0.608%G +0.014% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.46%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 13:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV +1.39%E +0.298%K +0.379%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.59%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 08:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.57%E -6.41%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 01:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%EV -1.42%E -0.313%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 01:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.86%E -2.31%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-28 14:58 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 12:58 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-28 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 14:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.35%E -7.14%K -49.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 13:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.35%E -7.14%K -49.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 13:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.35%E -7.14%K -49.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 12:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 08:28 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -6.19%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.19%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 02:56 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -6.41%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -6.41%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 12:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.78%E -5.70%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 13:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -10.09%E -2.43%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 10:06 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-29 00:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.57%E -6.41%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 12:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -18.97%E -5.07%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV +0.268%E +0.210%K +0.959%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 12:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-29 13:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-29 13:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-06-29 13:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 13:01 |
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |