مدرسة الاحتمالات

Roberto Bautista Agut v Joao Fonseca

البداية: 2026-06-29 13:05 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Roberto Bautista Agut (المضيف)

التنبؤ 21.67%4.62السعر العادل
EV +8.33%
الأفضلية +1.67%
Kelly +2.08%
النمو +0.173%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.96%21.60%21.64%25.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.744.374.405.0026.74%22.89%22.73%20.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Joao Fonseca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 78.33%1.28السعر العادل
EV +0.268%
الأفضلية +0.210%
Kelly +0.959%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.28

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
74.50%78.40%78.36%81.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.171.211.211.2885.47%82.73%82.64%78.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +8.33%E +1.67%K +2.08%G +0.173%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.35%E -7.14%K -49.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 18:39
Pinnacle4.72I 21.19%NM 20.54%EV +2.26%E +0.479%K +0.608%G +0.014%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.46%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 13:01
DraftKings4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV +1.39%E +0.298%K +0.379%G +0.005%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.59%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 13:00
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 12:51
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 08:29
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:50
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.57%E -6.41%K -42.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 01:39
GTbets4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%EV -1.42%E -0.313%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 01:39
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.86%E -2.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-29 12:50
ReBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 12:50
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 13:00
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 12:50
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 12:51
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 12:00
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 14:58
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 12:58
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 14:59
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 14:39
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.35%E -7.14%K -49.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 13:01
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.35%E -7.14%K -49.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 13:01
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.35%E -7.14%K -49.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 13:00
MyBookie.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:59
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:01
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
TABtouch4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
LeoVegas4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:01
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:01
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
betPARX4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
Svenska Spel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
Bally Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:01
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:00
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 08:28
Fanatics4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 12:50
BetAnything4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 13:00
Unibet (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 12:51
Fliff4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 12:51
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -6.19%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 12:50
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.19%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 02:56
NordicBet4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -6.41%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 13:00
Betsson4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -6.41%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 13:00
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:40
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.78%E -5.70%K -35.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 12:50
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:51
PlayUp4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 13:00
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:50
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:00
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:00
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:50
PMU (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:50
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:50
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:01
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 12:50
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 12:50
PointsBet (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -10.09%E -2.43%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 13:00
Dabble (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:00
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:06
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 00:59
Betclic (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.57%E -6.41%K -42.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 12:58
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -18.97%E -5.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV +0.268%E +0.210%K +0.959%G +0.003%4.9%2026-06-29 13:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-06-29 12:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-29 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-29 13:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-29 13:01
ProphetX5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-06-29 13:01
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%2.8%2026-06-29 13:01
Novig4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%4.6%2026-06-29 13:00