La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Roberto Bautista Agut v Joao Fonseca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Roberto Bautista Agut (Local)
Predicción 21.67%4.62momio equitativo
EV +8.33%
Ventaja +1.67%
Kelly +2.08%
Crecimiento +0.173%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.96%21.60%21.64%25.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.744.374.405.0026.74%22.89%22.73%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Joao Fonseca (Visitante)
Predicción 78.33%1.28momio equitativo
EV +0.268%
Ventaja +0.210%
Kelly +0.959%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.50%78.40%78.36%81.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.211.211.2885.47%82.73%82.64%78.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +8.33%E +1.67%K +2.08%G +0.173% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.35%E -7.14%K -49.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-27 18:39 |
| Pinnacle | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.54%EV +2.26%E +0.479%K +0.608%G +0.014% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.46%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 13:01 |
| DraftKings | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV +1.39%E +0.298%K +0.379%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.59%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| FanDuel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 08:29 |
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.57%E -6.41%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 01:39 |
| GTbets | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%EV -1.42%E -0.313%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 01:39 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.86%E -2.31%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| ReBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-28 14:58 |
| Everygame | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 12:58 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-28 14:59 |
| BetUS | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 14:39 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.35%E -7.14%K -49.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 13:01 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.35%E -7.14%K -49.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 13:01 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.35%E -7.14%K -49.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 12:59 |
| Unibet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| BetRivers | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Grosvenor | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| Casumo | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| betPARX | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Bally Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 08:28 |
| Fanatics | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| BetAnything | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Fliff | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| BetMGM | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -6.19%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| betfred_uk | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.19%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 02:56 |
| NordicBet | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -6.41%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Betsson | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -6.41%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 12:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.78%E -5.70%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| PlayUp | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| theScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.21%E -4.31%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Neds | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 13:01 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -10.09%E -2.43%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Caesars | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 10:06 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-29 00:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.57%E -6.41%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 12:58 |
| 1xBet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -18.97%E -5.07%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV +0.268%E +0.210%K +0.959%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 12:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-29 13:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-29 13:01 |
| ProphetX | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-06-29 13:01 |
| Smarkets | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 13:01 |
| Novig | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 13:00 |