Language:English
Raphael Collignon v Arthur Fils
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Raphael Collignon (Local)
Prediction 40.51%2.47fair odd
EV +6.53%
Edge +2.48%
Kelly +4.01%
Growth +0.262%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.01%40.45%40.57%44.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.252.212.6348.08%44.41%45.15%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Fils (Visit)
Prediction 59.49%1.68fair odd
EV +2.92%
Edge +1.69%
Kelly +4.00%
Growth +0.117%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.26%59.55%59.43%63.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.621.621.7368.03%61.85%61.73%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Raphael Collignon (Local): 40.51%; Arthur Fils (Visit): 59.49%. For Raphael Collignon (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +6.53%E +2.48%K +4.01%G +0.262% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -11.95%E -8.07%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +3.29%E +1.29%K +2.12%G +0.070% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +3.29%E +1.29%K +2.12%G +0.070% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +1.27%E +0.507%K +0.845%G +0.011% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.79%E -5.02%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.27%E +0.507%K +0.845%G +0.011% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV +0.457%E +0.184%K +0.309%G +0.001% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -7.79%E -5.02%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -2.38%E -0.987%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.38%E -5.44%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -11.95%E -8.07%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -10.17%E -6.73%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -11.36%E -7.62%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.62%E -2.41%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 15:11 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.64%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.64%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.64%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.64%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 15:18 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 15:12 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.52%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.48%EV -12.55%E -8.53%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -9.67%E -4.34%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV +0.543%E +0.322%K +0.788%G +0.004% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 15:08 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -9.67%E -4.34%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV -10.07%E -4.54%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV +2.92%E +1.69%K +4.00%G +0.117% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -10.07%E -4.54%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV +2.33%E +1.35%K +3.23%G +0.075% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 15:12 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -10.48%E -4.74%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 15:17 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +0.543%E +0.322%K +0.788%G +0.004% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 15:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 15:12 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -1.24%E -0.748%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 15:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -12.10%E -5.58%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -12.51%E -5.79%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV +0.543%E +0.322%K +0.788%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 15:16 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -12.51%E -5.79%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -0.052%E -0.031%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -12.51%E -5.79%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -0.052%E -0.031%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +1.14%E +0.670%K +1.63%G +0.019% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 15:16 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -0.052%E -0.031%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 15:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -0.052%E -0.031%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 15:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 15:12 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 15:13 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -13.32%E -6.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -14.13%E -6.66%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -1.24%E -0.748%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -14.13%E -6.66%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -1.24%E -0.748%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -14.94%E -7.11%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.14%E +0.670%K +1.63%G +0.019% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 15:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -14.94%E -7.11%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.14%E +0.670%K +1.63%G +0.019% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 15:16 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -15.75%E -7.57%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -3.03%E -1.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 1.6% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |