Die Wettquotenschule

Raphael Collignon v Arthur Fils

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-30 16:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Raphael Collignon (Heim)

Prognose 40.51%2.47faire Quote
EV +6.53%
Vorteil +2.48%
Kelly +4.01%
Wachstum +0.262%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.63

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
36.01%40.45%40.57%44.74%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.082.252.212.6348.08%44.41%45.15%38.02%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Arthur Fils (Auswärts)

Prognose 59.49%1.68faire Quote
EV +2.92%
Vorteil +1.69%
Kelly +4.00%
Wachstum +0.117%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.73

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.26%59.55%59.43%63.99%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.471.621.621.7368.03%61.85%61.73%57.80%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
DraftKings2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +6.53%E +2.48%K +4.01%G +0.262%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -11.95%E -8.07%K -24.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:19
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +3.29%E +1.29%K +2.12%G +0.070%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 15:20
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +3.29%E +1.29%K +2.12%G +0.070%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:20
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +1.27%E +0.507%K +0.845%G +0.011%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.79%E -5.02%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 15:19
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.27%E +0.507%K +0.845%G +0.011%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 15:19
Unibet (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV +0.457%E +0.184%K +0.309%G +0.001%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -7.79%E -5.02%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 15:19
NordicBet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -2.38%E -0.987%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 15:19
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.38%E -5.44%K -15.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 15:19
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -11.95%E -8.07%K -24.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 15:20
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -10.17%E -6.73%K -19.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 15:19
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 15:19
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -11.36%E -7.62%K -23.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 15:20
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.62%E -2.41%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 15:11
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 15:19
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 15:19
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 15:19
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.64%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:19
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.64%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:19
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.64%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:19
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.64%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:19
MyBookie.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 15:18
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 15:12
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 15:19
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 15:19
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 15:19
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 15:19
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.52%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.48%EV -12.55%E -8.53%K -26.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-30 15:19
ReBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -9.67%E -4.34%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV +0.543%E +0.322%K +0.788%G +0.004%4.0%2026-06-30 15:08
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -9.67%E -4.34%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 15:19
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV -10.07%E -4.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV +2.92%E +1.69%K +4.00%G +0.117%2.8%2026-06-30 15:20
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -10.07%E -4.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV +2.33%E +1.35%K +3.23%G +0.075%3.2%2026-06-30 15:12
SportsBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -10.48%E -4.74%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 15:17
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +0.543%E +0.322%K +0.788%G +0.004%4.6%2026-06-30 15:10
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:19
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:12
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:19
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -1.24%E -0.748%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 15:09
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:18
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:19
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:19
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:19
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:19
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 15:19
Bally Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -12.10%E -5.58%K -10.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 15:20
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -12.51%E -5.79%K -10.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV +0.543%E +0.322%K +0.788%G +0.004%5.5%2026-06-30 15:16
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -12.51%E -5.79%K -10.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -0.052%E -0.031%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:19
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -12.51%E -5.79%K -10.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -0.052%E -0.031%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:19
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +1.14%E +0.670%K +1.63%G +0.019%5.3%2026-06-30 15:16
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -0.052%E -0.031%K -0.076%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:14
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -0.052%E -0.031%K -0.076%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:14
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 15:12
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 15:19
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 15:19
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 15:19
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 15:13
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -13.32%E -6.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 15:19
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -14.13%E -6.66%K -12.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -1.24%E -0.748%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 15:19
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -14.13%E -6.66%K -12.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -1.24%E -0.748%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 15:19
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -14.94%E -7.11%K -13.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.14%E +0.670%K +1.63%G +0.019%6.4%2026-06-30 15:14
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -14.94%E -7.11%K -13.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.14%E +0.670%K +1.63%G +0.019%6.4%2026-06-30 15:16
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -15.75%E -7.57%K -14.58%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -3.03%E -1.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 15:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-30 15:20
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-06-30 15:19
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-06-30 15:20
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%1.6%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%3.8%2026-06-30 15:20
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%5.4%2026-06-30 15:20