La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Raphael Collignon v Arthur Fils
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Raphael Collignon (Local)
Predicción 40.51%2.47momio equitativo
EV +6.53%
Ventaja +2.48%
Kelly +4.01%
Crecimiento +0.262%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.01%40.45%40.57%44.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.082.252.212.6348.08%44.41%45.15%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arthur Fils (Visitante)
Predicción 59.49%1.68momio equitativo
EV +2.92%
Ventaja +1.69%
Kelly +4.00%
Crecimiento +0.117%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.26%59.55%59.43%63.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.621.621.7368.03%61.85%61.73%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +6.53%E +2.48%K +4.01%G +0.262% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -11.95%E -8.07%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +3.29%E +1.29%K +2.12%G +0.070% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +3.29%E +1.29%K +2.12%G +0.070% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +1.27%E +0.507%K +0.845%G +0.011% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.79%E -5.02%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.27%E +0.507%K +0.845%G +0.011% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV +0.457%E +0.184%K +0.309%G +0.001% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -7.79%E -5.02%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -2.38%E -0.987%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.38%E -5.44%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -11.95%E -8.07%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -10.17%E -6.73%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Fliff | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -11.36%E -7.62%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.62%E -2.41%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 15:11 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.64%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.64%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.64%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.64%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 15:18 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 15:12 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.52%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.48%EV -12.55%E -8.53%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| ReBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -9.67%E -4.34%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV +0.543%E +0.322%K +0.788%G +0.004% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 15:08 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -9.67%E -4.34%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV -10.07%E -4.54%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV +2.92%E +1.69%K +4.00%G +0.117% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| GTbets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -10.07%E -4.54%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV +2.33%E +1.35%K +3.23%G +0.075% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 15:12 |
| SportsBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -10.48%E -4.74%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 15:17 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +0.543%E +0.322%K +0.788%G +0.004% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 15:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 15:12 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 15:10 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -1.24%E -0.748%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 15:18 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Bally Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -12.10%E -5.58%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -12.51%E -5.79%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV +0.543%E +0.322%K +0.788%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 15:16 |
| Casumo | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -12.51%E -5.79%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -0.052%E -0.031%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -12.51%E -5.79%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -0.052%E -0.031%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +1.14%E +0.670%K +1.63%G +0.019% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 15:16 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -0.052%E -0.031%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 15:14 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -0.052%E -0.031%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 15:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 15:12 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 15:13 |
| TABtouch | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -13.32%E -6.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -14.13%E -6.66%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -1.24%E -0.748%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -14.13%E -6.66%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -1.24%E -0.748%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -14.94%E -7.11%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.14%E +0.670%K +1.63%G +0.019% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 15:14 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -14.94%E -7.11%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.14%E +0.670%K +1.63%G +0.019% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 15:16 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -15.75%E -7.57%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -3.03%E -1.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| ProphetX | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 1.6% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| Novig | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |