A Escola das Odds

Raphael Collignon v Arthur Fils

Início: 2026-06-30 16:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Raphael Collignon (Local)

Previsão 40.51%2.47odd justa
EV +6.53%
Vantagem +2.48%
Kelly +4.01%
Crescimento +0.262%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.01%40.45%40.57%44.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.082.252.212.6348.08%44.41%45.15%38.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arthur Fils (Visitante)

Previsão 59.49%1.68odd justa
EV +2.92%
Vantagem +1.69%
Kelly +4.00%
Crescimento +0.117%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.26%59.55%59.43%63.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.471.621.621.7368.03%61.85%61.73%57.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +6.53%E +2.48%K +4.01%G +0.262%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -11.95%E -8.07%K -24.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:19
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +3.29%E +1.29%K +2.12%G +0.070%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 15:20
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +3.29%E +1.29%K +2.12%G +0.070%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:20
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +1.27%E +0.507%K +0.845%G +0.011%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.79%E -5.02%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 15:19
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.27%E +0.507%K +0.845%G +0.011%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 15:19
Unibet (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV +0.457%E +0.184%K +0.309%G +0.001%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -7.79%E -5.02%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 15:19
NordicBet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -2.38%E -0.987%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 15:19
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.38%E -5.44%K -15.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 15:19
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -11.95%E -8.07%K -24.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 15:20
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -10.17%E -6.73%K -19.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 15:19
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 15:19
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -11.36%E -7.62%K -23.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 15:20
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.62%E -2.41%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 15:11
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 15:19
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 15:19
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 15:19
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.64%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:19
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.64%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:19
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.64%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:19
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.64%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:19
MyBookie.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 15:18
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 15:12
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 15:19
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 15:19
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 15:19
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 15:19
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.52%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.48%EV -12.55%E -8.53%K -26.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-30 15:19
ReBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -9.67%E -4.34%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV +0.543%E +0.322%K +0.788%G +0.004%4.0%2026-06-30 15:08
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -9.67%E -4.34%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 15:19
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV -10.07%E -4.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV +2.92%E +1.69%K +4.00%G +0.117%2.8%2026-06-30 15:20
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -10.07%E -4.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV +2.33%E +1.35%K +3.23%G +0.075%3.2%2026-06-30 15:12
SportsBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -10.48%E -4.74%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 15:17
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +0.543%E +0.322%K +0.788%G +0.004%4.6%2026-06-30 15:10
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:19
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:12
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:19
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -1.24%E -0.748%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 15:09
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:18
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:19
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:19
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:19
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:19
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 15:19
Bally Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -12.10%E -5.58%K -10.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 15:20
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -12.51%E -5.79%K -10.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV +0.543%E +0.322%K +0.788%G +0.004%5.5%2026-06-30 15:16
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -12.51%E -5.79%K -10.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -0.052%E -0.031%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:19
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -12.51%E -5.79%K -10.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -0.052%E -0.031%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:19
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +1.14%E +0.670%K +1.63%G +0.019%5.3%2026-06-30 15:16
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -0.052%E -0.031%K -0.076%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:14
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -0.052%E -0.031%K -0.076%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:14
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 15:12
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 15:19
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 15:19
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 15:19
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.84%E -1.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 15:13
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -13.32%E -6.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -0.646%E -0.387%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 15:19
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -14.13%E -6.66%K -12.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -1.24%E -0.748%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 15:19
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -14.13%E -6.66%K -12.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -1.24%E -0.748%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 15:19
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -14.94%E -7.11%K -13.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.14%E +0.670%K +1.63%G +0.019%6.4%2026-06-30 15:14
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -14.94%E -7.11%K -13.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.14%E +0.670%K +1.63%G +0.019%6.4%2026-06-30 15:16
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -15.75%E -7.57%K -14.58%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -3.03%E -1.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 15:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-30 15:20
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-06-30 15:19
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-06-30 15:20
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%1.6%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%3.8%2026-06-30 15:20
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%5.4%2026-06-30 15:20