语言:简体中文
Rafael Jodar v Felix Gill
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Rafael Jodar (主队)
预测 82.89%1.21公平赔率
EV -3.02%
优势 -2.58%
Kelly -17.75%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.17
博彩公司预测分布
80.40%82.77%82.83%85.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.111.141.141.1790.09%87.52%87.72%85.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
Felix Gill (客队)
预测 17.11%5.84公平赔率
EV +14.63%
优势 +2.18%
Kelly +2.57%
增长率 +0.376%
假设最高赔率为 6.70
博彩公司预测分布
14.21%17.23%17.17%19.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.545.506.7020.83%18.05%18.18%14.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Rafael Jodar (主队)：82.89%；Felix Gill (客队)：17.11%。 对于“Felix Gill (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.84。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.70，对应+14.63%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -7.99%E -7.20%K -72.65%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +14.63%E +2.18%K +2.57%G +0.376% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.52%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.48%EV +7.44%E +1.19%K +1.41%G +0.105% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +6.93%E +1.11%K +1.32%G +0.092% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +6.93%E +1.11%K +1.32%G +0.092% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +3.51%E +0.580%K +0.695%G +0.024% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.99%E -7.20%K -72.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +0.943%E +0.160%K +0.192%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -0.768%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -0.768%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -0.768%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -0.768%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:51 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -2.48%E -0.435%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -2.48%E -0.435%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 09:52 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -3.51%E -0.622%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.19%E -0.748%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.19%E -0.748%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.19%E -0.748%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.909%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.61%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.14%EV -3.02%E -2.58%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.86%EV -7.95%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 09:53 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.19%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.81%EV -10.01%E -1.90%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.19%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.81%EV -10.01%E -1.90%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.03%E -2.12%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.03%E -2.12%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.10%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.90%EV -17.02%E -3.51%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.02%E -2.58%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -17.88%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.96% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 14.04% | 0.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57% | 2.4% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.40% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.60% | 2.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |