Die Wettquotenschule

Rafael Jodar v Felix Gill

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-29 10:05 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Rafael Jodar (Heim)

Prognose 82.89%1.21faire Quote
EV -3.02%
Vorteil -2.58%
Kelly -17.75%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.17

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
80.40%82.77%82.83%85.79%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.111.141.141.1790.09%87.52%87.72%85.47%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Felix Gill (Auswärts)

Prognose 17.11%5.84faire Quote
EV +14.63%
Vorteil +2.18%
Kelly +2.57%
Wachstum +0.376%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.21%17.23%17.17%19.60%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.805.545.506.7020.83%18.05%18.18%14.93%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BetAnything1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -7.99%E -7.20%K -72.65%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +14.63%E +2.18%K +2.57%G +0.376%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 84.52%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.48%EV +7.44%E +1.19%K +1.41%G +0.105%2.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +6.93%E +1.11%K +1.32%G +0.092%3.7%2026-06-29 09:58
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +6.93%E +1.11%K +1.32%G +0.092%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +3.51%E +0.580%K +0.695%G +0.024%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Dabble (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.99%E -7.20%K -72.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014%6.8%2026-06-29 09:59
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +0.943%E +0.160%K +0.192%G +0.002%4.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -0.768%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-29 09:59
Codere (IT)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -0.768%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -0.768%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -0.768%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:51
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -2.48%E -0.435%K -0.527%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:00
NetBet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -2.48%E -0.435%K -0.527%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 09:52
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -3.51%E -0.622%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 09:59
MyBookie.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.19%E -0.748%K -0.911%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.19%E -0.748%K -0.911%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.19%E -0.748%K -0.911%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 10:00
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.909%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:00
betfred_uk1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:00
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Sky Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.61%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:00
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.14%EV -3.02%E -2.58%K -17.75%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.86%EV -7.95%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 09:53
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:58
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:58
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.19%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.81%EV -10.01%E -1.90%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 82.19%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.81%EV -10.01%E -1.90%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.03%E -2.12%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 09:59
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.03%E -2.12%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:00
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 09:59
theScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 09:58
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 09:58
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 81.10%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.90%EV -17.02%E -3.51%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 09:59
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.02%E -2.58%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -17.88%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX1.16I 86.21%NM 85.96%7.10I 14.08%NM 14.04%0.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57%2.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 85.40%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.60%2.7%2026-06-29 10:00