Langue:Français
Rafael Jodar v Felix Gill
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prévision 82.89%1.21cote équitable
EV -3.02%
Avantage -2.58%
Kelly -17.75%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.17
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.40%82.77%82.83%85.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.111.141.141.1790.09%87.52%87.72%85.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Felix Gill (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.11%5.84cote équitable
EV +14.63%
Avantage +2.18%
Kelly +2.57%
Croissance +0.376%
avec la cote maximale 6.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.21%17.23%17.17%19.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.545.506.7020.83%18.05%18.18%14.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rafael Jodar (Local) : 82.89% ; Felix Gill (Visiteur) : 17.11%. Pour Felix Gill (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.84. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.70, soit une espérance positive de +14.63%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -7.99%E -7.20%K -72.65%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +14.63%E +2.18%K +2.57%G +0.376% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.52%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.48%EV +7.44%E +1.19%K +1.41%G +0.105% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +6.93%E +1.11%K +1.32%G +0.092% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +6.93%E +1.11%K +1.32%G +0.092% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +3.51%E +0.580%K +0.695%G +0.024% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.99%E -7.20%K -72.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +0.943%E +0.160%K +0.192%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -0.768%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -0.768%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -0.768%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -0.768%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:51 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -2.48%E -0.435%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -2.48%E -0.435%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 09:52 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -3.51%E -0.622%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.19%E -0.748%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.19%E -0.748%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.19%E -0.748%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.909%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.61%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.14%EV -3.02%E -2.58%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.86%EV -7.95%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 09:53 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.19%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.81%EV -10.01%E -1.90%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.19%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.81%EV -10.01%E -1.90%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.03%E -2.12%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.03%E -2.12%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.10%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.90%EV -17.02%E -3.51%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.02%E -2.58%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -17.88%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.96% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 14.04% | 0.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57% | 2.4% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.40% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.60% | 2.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |