La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Rafael Jodar v Felix Gill
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Predicción 82.89%1.21momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -2.58%
Kelly -17.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.40%82.77%82.83%85.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.141.141.1790.09%87.52%87.72%85.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Felix Gill (Visitante)
Predicción 17.11%5.84momio equitativo
EV +14.63%
Ventaja +2.18%
Kelly +2.57%
Crecimiento +0.376%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.21%17.23%17.17%19.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.545.506.7020.83%18.05%18.18%14.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -7.99%E -7.20%K -72.65%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +14.63%E +2.18%K +2.57%G +0.376% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.52%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.48%EV +7.44%E +1.19%K +1.41%G +0.105% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +6.93%E +1.11%K +1.32%G +0.092% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| PlayUp | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +6.93%E +1.11%K +1.32%G +0.092% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +3.51%E +0.580%K +0.695%G +0.024% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| 888sport | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Everygame | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.99%E -7.20%K -72.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +0.943%E +0.160%K +0.192%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -0.768%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -0.768%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ReBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -0.768%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -0.768%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Bovada | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:51 |
| BetMGM | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Coral | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -2.48%E -0.435%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -2.48%E -0.435%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 09:52 |
| DraftKings | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -3.51%E -0.622%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.19%E -0.748%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.19%E -0.748%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Neds | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.19%E -0.748%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.909%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betway | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BetUS | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| William Hill | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.61%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| GTbets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.14%EV -3.02%E -2.58%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.86%EV -7.95%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 09:53 |
| Unibet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Casumo | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| betPARX | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| NordicBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.19%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.81%EV -10.01%E -1.90%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betsson | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.19%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.81%EV -10.01%E -1.90%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Fliff | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.03%E -2.12%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.03%E -2.12%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Caesars | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Fanatics | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.10%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.90%EV -17.02%E -3.51%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.02%E -2.58%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -17.88%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.96% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 14.04% | 0.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57% | 2.4% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Novig | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.40% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.60% | 2.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |