Szkoła Kursów

Rafael Jodar v Felix Gill

Początek: 2026-06-29 10:05 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 82.89%1.21kurs godziwy
EV -3.02%
Przewaga -2.58%
Kelly -17.75%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.17

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
80.40%82.77%82.83%85.79%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.111.141.141.1790.09%87.52%87.72%85.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Felix Gill (Goście)

Prognoza 17.11%5.84kurs godziwy
EV +14.63%
Przewaga +2.18%
Kelly +2.57%
Wzrost +0.376%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
14.21%17.23%17.17%19.60%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.805.545.506.7020.83%18.05%18.18%14.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
BetAnything1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -7.99%E -7.20%K -72.65%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +14.63%E +2.18%K +2.57%G +0.376%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 84.52%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.48%EV +7.44%E +1.19%K +1.41%G +0.105%2.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +6.93%E +1.11%K +1.32%G +0.092%3.7%2026-06-29 09:58
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +6.93%E +1.11%K +1.32%G +0.092%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +3.51%E +0.580%K +0.695%G +0.024%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Dabble (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.99%E -7.20%K -72.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.531%G +0.014%6.8%2026-06-29 09:59
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +0.943%E +0.160%K +0.192%G +0.002%4.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -0.768%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-29 09:59
Codere (IT)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -0.768%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -0.768%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -0.768%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:51
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -1.62%E -0.282%K -0.342%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -2.48%E -0.435%K -0.527%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:00
NetBet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -2.48%E -0.435%K -0.527%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 09:52
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -3.51%E -0.622%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 09:59
MyBookie.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.19%E -0.748%K -0.911%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.19%E -0.748%K -0.911%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.19%E -0.748%K -0.911%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 10:00
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.909%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:00
betfred_uk1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:00
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Sky Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.61%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:00
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.14%EV -3.02%E -2.58%K -17.75%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.86%EV -7.95%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 09:53
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:58
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.32%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:58
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.19%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.81%EV -10.01%E -1.90%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 82.19%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.81%EV -10.01%E -1.90%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.68%E -4.07%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.16%E -6.39%K -59.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.03%E -2.12%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 09:59
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.03%E -2.12%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:00
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -12.74%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 09:59
theScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.85%E -3.32%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 09:58
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.50%E -4.83%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 09:58
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 81.10%EV -6.33%E -5.60%K -48.72%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.90%EV -17.02%E -3.51%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 09:59
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.02%E -2.58%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -17.88%E -3.72%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:59
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
ProphetX1.16I 86.21%NM 85.96%7.10I 14.08%NM 14.04%0.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57%2.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 85.40%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.60%2.7%2026-06-29 10:00