Language:English
Nuno Borges v Tristan Boyer
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nuno Borges (Local)
Prediction 72.79%1.37fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -4.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.48%72.70%72.78%74.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.311.3580.00%76.05%76.34%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tristan Boyer (Visit)
Prediction 27.21%3.68fair odd
EV +2.04%
Edge +0.543%
Kelly +0.740%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.70%27.30%27.22%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.413.403.7531.25%29.32%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nuno Borges (Local): 72.79%; Tristan Boyer (Visit): 27.21%. For Tristan Boyer (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +2.04%E +0.543%K +0.740%G +0.015% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV +1.49%E +0.400%K +0.547%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 12:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -0.957%E -0.263%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.83%E -5.33%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.83%E -5.33%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.83%E -5.33%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51%EV -1.73%E -1.28%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.880%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.40%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.60%EV -3.13%E -0.880%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.41%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.41%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -5.31%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 12:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.83%E -5.33%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -6.67%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -6.67%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -9.01%E -7.21%K -36.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -8.58%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-29 12:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.39% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.61% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |