La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Nuno Borges v Tristan Boyer
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nuno Borges (Local)
Predicción 72.79%1.37momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -4.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.48%72.70%72.78%74.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.311.311.3580.00%76.05%76.34%74.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tristan Boyer (Visitante)
Predicción 27.21%3.68momio equitativo
EV +2.04%
Ventaja +0.543%
Kelly +0.740%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.70%27.30%27.22%29.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.413.403.7531.25%29.32%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +2.04%E +0.543%K +0.740%G +0.015% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV +1.49%E +0.400%K +0.547%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 12:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -0.957%E -0.263%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| TAB | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.83%E -5.33%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.83%E -5.33%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.83%E -5.33%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51%EV -1.73%E -1.28%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.880%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.40%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.60%EV -3.13%E -0.880%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.41%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| ReBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.41%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| BetAnything | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -5.31%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 12:48 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.83%E -5.33%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -6.67%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Betsson | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -6.67%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Caesars | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -9.01%E -7.21%K -36.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -8.58%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Neds | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| BetUS | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Unibet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Casumo | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Grosvenor | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Bally Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:49 |
| betPARX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-29 12:48 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| ProphetX | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 12:51 |
| Novig | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.39% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.61% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 12:50 |