A Escola das Odds

Nuno Borges v Tristan Boyer

Início: 2026-06-29 13:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Nuno Borges (Local)

Previsão 72.79%1.37odd justa
EV -1.73%
Vantagem -1.28%
Kelly -4.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.48%72.70%72.78%74.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.251.311.311.3580.00%76.05%76.34%74.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tristan Boyer (Visitante)

Previsão 27.21%3.68odd justa
EV +2.04%
Vantagem +0.543%
Kelly +0.740%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.70%27.30%27.22%29.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.413.403.7531.25%29.32%29.41%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +2.04%E +0.543%K +0.740%G +0.015%3.6%2026-06-29 12:50
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.04%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV +1.49%E +0.400%K +0.547%G +0.008%4.3%2026-06-29 12:49
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.04%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -0.957%E -0.263%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 12:50
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 12:51
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 12:50
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 12:51
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 12:50
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:50
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:51
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.83%E -5.33%K -24.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:50
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.83%E -5.33%K -24.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:51
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.83%E -5.33%K -24.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:50
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51%EV -1.73%E -1.28%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.880%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-29 12:50
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.40%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.04%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.60%EV -3.13%E -0.880%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 12:50
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.41%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 12:51
ReBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.41%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 12:50
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 12:50
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 12:51
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 12:50
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:50
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:50
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:50
MyBookie.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -5.31%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 12:48
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:50
PointsBet (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:50
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:50
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.83%E -5.33%K -24.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 12:50
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.04%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -6.67%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 12:50
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.04%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -6.67%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 12:50
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 12:50
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 12:50
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 12:50
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 12:50
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 12:50
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -9.01%E -7.21%K -36.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 12:50
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -8.58%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:51
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 12:50
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 12:50
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:50
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:51
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:50
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:51
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 12:50
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:51
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:50
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:50
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:50
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:51
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:50
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:51
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:51
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:51
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:49
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:50
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:50
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:50
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:51
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:50
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:50
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:50
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 12:50
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 12:48
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-06-29 12:50
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-06-29 12:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-06-29 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-06-29 12:51
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-06-29 12:51
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%2.8%2026-06-29 12:51
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 73.39%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.61%3.2%2026-06-29 12:50