Szkoła Kursów

Mattia Bellucci v Zachary Svajda

Początek: 2026-06-30 09:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Mattia Bellucci (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 54.63%1.83kurs godziwy
EV -1.12%
Przewaga -0.617%
Kelly -1.38%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.81

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
53.05%54.67%54.67%56.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.661.731.731.8160.24%57.85%57.80%55.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Zachary Svajda (Goście)

Prognoza 45.37%2.20kurs godziwy
EV -2.00%
Przewaga -0.928%
Kelly -1.73%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.16

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
43.57%45.33%45.33%46.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.092.102.1650.00%47.81%47.62%46.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -1.12%E -0.617%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -4.27%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-28 20:00
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.66%E -0.924%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.00%E -0.928%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-28 17:29
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.76%E -1.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 21:29
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 09:09
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 16:18
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 14:19
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 19:10
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 21:29
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 13:40
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 16:19
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 21:29
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 21:39
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 21:29
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 23:09
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.00%E -0.928%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 10:19
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 10:19
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.18%E -2.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:29
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 23:10
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:30
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:30
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:30
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:30
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:29
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:29
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:29
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:29
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:29
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:30
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:30
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:29
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:09
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 05:59
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 05:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 12:29
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 07:59
PointsBet (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 16:39
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:09
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 01:45
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.00%E -0.928%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 08:19
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 05:59
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 08:20
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 08:19
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-28 21:29
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 05:59
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 18:19
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 00:49
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 06:00
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 08:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 05:59
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 05:59
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.67%E -4.54%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 10:35
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.77%E -5.25%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 01:49
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.77%E -5.25%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 01:48
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.77%E -5.25%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 08:48
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.77%E -5.25%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 01:49
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 01:49
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-28 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-28 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-28 15:30
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-06-28 16:19
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-06-28 21:00
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%5.0%2026-06-29 09:10
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 53.19%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.81%11.3%2026-06-28 21:30