La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Mattia Bellucci v Zachary Svajda
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Mattia Bellucci (Casa)
Previsione 54.63%1.83quota equa
EV -1.12%
Vantaggio -0.617%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.81
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.05%54.67%54.67%56.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.731.731.8160.24%57.85%57.80%55.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Zachary Svajda (Trasferta)
Previsione 45.37%2.20quota equa
EV -2.00%
Vantaggio -0.928%
Kelly -1.73%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.57%45.33%45.33%46.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.092.102.1650.00%47.81%47.62%46.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -1.12%E -0.617%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -4.27%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-28 20:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.66%E -0.924%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.00%E -0.928%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-28 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.76%E -1.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-28 21:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 09:09 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-28 16:18 |
| BetAnything | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-28 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-28 19:10 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-28 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-28 21:29 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 13:40 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 21:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 21:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 21:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 23:09 |
| GTbets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.00%E -0.928%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-27 10:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 10:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.18%E -2.48%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 17:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-28 23:10 |
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:29 |
| Casumo | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:29 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:09 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-28 05:59 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-28 05:59 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 12:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-28 07:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 16:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 01:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.00%E -0.928%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 08:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-28 05:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 08:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 08:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-28 21:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-28 05:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-27 18:19 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 00:49 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 08:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-28 05:59 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-28 05:59 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.67%E -4.54%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 10:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.77%E -5.25%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 01:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.77%E -5.25%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 01:48 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.77%E -5.25%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 08:48 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.77%E -5.25%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 01:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-28 01:49 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-06-28 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-06-28 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-06-28 15:30 |
| ProphetX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56% | 2.3% | 2026-06-28 16:19 |
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78% | 3.0% | 2026-06-28 21:00 |
| Novig | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.19% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.81% | 11.3% | 2026-06-28 21:30 |