L’École des cotes

Mattia Bellucci v Zachary Svajda

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mattia Bellucci (Local)

Prévision 54.63%1.83cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.617%
Kelly -1.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.05%54.67%54.67%56.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.731.731.8160.24%57.85%57.80%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Zachary Svajda (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.37%2.20cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -0.928%
Kelly -1.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.57%45.33%45.33%46.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.092.102.1650.00%47.81%47.62%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -1.12%E -0.617%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -4.27%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-28 20:00
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.66%E -0.924%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.00%E -0.928%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-28 17:29
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.76%E -1.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 21:29
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 09:09
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 16:18
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 14:19
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 19:10
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 21:29
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 13:40
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 16:19
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 21:29
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 21:39
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 21:29
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 23:09
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.00%E -0.928%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 10:19
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 10:19
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.18%E -2.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:29
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 23:10
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:30
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:30
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:30
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:30
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:29
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:29
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:29
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:29
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:29
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:30
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:30
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:29
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:09
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 10:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 05:59
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 05:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 12:29
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 07:59
PointsBet (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 16:39
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:09
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 01:45
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.00%E -0.928%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 08:19
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 05:59
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 08:20
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 08:19
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-28 21:29
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 05:59
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 18:19
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 00:49
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 06:00
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 08:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 05:59
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 05:59
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.67%E -4.54%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 10:35
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.77%E -5.25%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 01:49
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.77%E -5.25%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 01:48
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.77%E -5.25%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 08:48
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.77%E -5.25%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 01:49
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 01:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-28 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-28 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-28 15:30
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-06-28 16:19
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-06-28 21:00
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%5.0%2026-06-29 09:10
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 53.19%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.81%11.3%2026-06-28 21:30