Idioma:Español
Mattia Bellucci v Zachary Svajda
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mattia Bellucci (Local)
Predicción 54.63%1.83momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.617%
Kelly -1.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.05%54.67%54.67%56.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.661.731.731.8160.24%57.85%57.80%55.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Zachary Svajda (Visitante)
Predicción 45.37%2.20momio equitativo
EV -2.00%
Ventaja -0.928%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.57%45.33%45.33%46.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.092.102.1650.00%47.81%47.62%46.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Mattia Bellucci (Local): 54.63%; Zachary Svajda (Visitante): 45.37%. Para Mattia Bellucci (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.83. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.81, con un valor esperado de -1.12%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -1.12%E -0.617%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -4.27%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-28 20:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.66%E -0.924%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.00%E -0.928%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-28 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.76%E -1.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-28 21:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 09:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-28 16:18 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-28 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-28 19:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.30%E -1.87%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-28 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-28 21:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 13:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 21:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 21:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 21:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.00%E -0.928%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-27 10:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 10:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.18%E -2.48%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 17:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-28 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-28 05:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-28 05:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 12:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-28 07:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 16:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 01:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.00%E -0.928%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 08:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-28 05:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 08:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 08:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-28 21:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-28 05:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-27 18:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 00:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 06:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 08:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-28 05:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.13%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-28 05:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.67%E -4.54%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 10:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.77%E -5.25%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 01:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.77%E -5.25%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 01:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.77%E -5.25%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 08:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.77%E -5.25%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 01:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-28 01:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-06-28 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-06-28 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-06-28 15:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56% | 2.3% | 2026-06-28 16:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78% | 3.0% | 2026-06-28 21:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.19% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.81% | 11.3% | 2026-06-28 21:30 |