Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marton Fucsovics v Learner Tien

Kickoff: 2026-07-01 10:13 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marton Fucsovics (Local)

Prediction 27.59%3.62fair odd
EV +0.707%
Edge +0.194%
Kelly +0.267%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.38%27.80%27.66%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.373.353.6533.33%29.70%29.85%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Learner Tien (Visit)

Prediction 72.41%1.38fair odd
EV -0.799%
Edge -0.584%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%72.20%72.34%73.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.321.321.3777.52%75.66%75.76%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marton Fucsovics (Local): 27.59%; Learner Tien (Visit): 72.41%. For Marton Fucsovics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.707%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV +0.707%E +0.194%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.673%E -0.187%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.673%E -0.187%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Pinnacle🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 27.18%EV -0.949%E -0.264%K -0.366%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.82%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 10:00
DraftKings🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.05%E -0.578%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 10:00
SportsBet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -2.88%E -0.818%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 09:40
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 08:29
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 08:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 10:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 10:00
theScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 10:00
Betsson🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -5.36%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 09:40
ReBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 09:39
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 07:59
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.14%E -3.93%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:59
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.14%E -3.93%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 05:00
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 09:40
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 04:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 04:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
1xBet🎯3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -6.47%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 09:50
MyBookie.ag🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -7.29%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 09:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -7.29%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 09:30
GTbets🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -0.799%E -0.584%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:39
Neds🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 04:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 04:59
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.14%E -3.93%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 10:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-01 10:00
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
Bally Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:50
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 10:00
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 04:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 08:49
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 08:50
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 14:29
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 08:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 08:49
Dabble (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 09:59
Everygame🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 17:19
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 08:49
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 09:58
NordicBet🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%EV -12.81%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 09:50
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -17.23%E -5.74%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.52%E -1.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 22:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%0.9%2026-07-01 10:00
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%0.9%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%0.9%2026-07-01 10:00
Novig3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%1.7%2026-07-01 10:00
ProphetX3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%1.9%2026-07-01 10:00
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-07-01 10:00