مدرسة الاحتمالات

Marton Fucsovics v Learner Tien

البداية: 2026-07-01 10:13 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Marton Fucsovics (المضيف)

التنبؤ 27.59%3.62السعر العادل
EV +0.707%
الأفضلية +0.194%
Kelly +0.267%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.38%27.80%27.66%31.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.373.353.6533.33%29.70%29.85%27.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Learner Tien (الضيف)

التنبؤ 72.41%1.38السعر العادل
EV -0.799%
الأفضلية -0.584%
Kelly -2.16%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.37

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
68.81%72.20%72.34%73.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.291.321.321.3777.52%75.66%75.76%72.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV +0.707%E +0.194%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.673%E -0.187%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.673%E -0.187%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Pinnacle3.59I 27.86%NM 27.18%EV -0.949%E -0.264%K -0.366%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.82%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 10:00
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.05%E -0.578%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 10:00
SportsBet3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -2.88%E -0.818%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 09:40
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 08:29
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 08:30
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 10:00
PointsBet (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 10:00
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 10:00
Betsson3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -5.36%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:00
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 09:40
ReBet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 09:39
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 07:59
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 08:49
Betclic (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.14%E -3.93%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:59
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.14%E -3.93%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 05:00
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 09:40
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 04:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 04:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
1xBet3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -6.47%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 09:50
MyBookie.ag3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -7.29%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 09:40
Marathon Bet3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -7.29%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 09:30
GTbets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -0.799%E -0.584%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:39
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 04:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 04:59
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.14%E -3.93%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 10:00
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-01 10:00
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:50
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:50
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 10:00
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 04:50
Hard Rock Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 08:49
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 08:50
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 14:29
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 08:49
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 08:49
Dabble (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 09:59
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 17:19
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 08:49
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 09:58
NordicBet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%EV -12.81%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 09:50
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -17.23%E -5.74%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.52%E -1.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 22:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%0.9%2026-07-01 10:00
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%0.9%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%0.9%2026-07-01 10:00
Novig3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%1.7%2026-07-01 10:00
ProphetX3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%1.9%2026-07-01 10:00
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-07-01 10:00