La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Marton Fucsovics v Learner Tien
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Marton Fucsovics (Local)
Predicción 27.59%3.62momio equitativo
EV +0.707%
Ventaja +0.194%
Kelly +0.267%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.38%27.80%27.66%31.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.373.353.6533.33%29.70%29.85%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Learner Tien (Visitante)
Predicción 72.41%1.38momio equitativo
EV -0.799%
Ventaja -0.584%
Kelly -2.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.81%72.20%72.34%73.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.321.321.3777.52%75.66%75.76%72.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV +0.707%E +0.194%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.673%E -0.187%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.673%E -0.187%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.18%EV -0.949%E -0.264%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.82%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.05%E -0.578%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -2.88%E -0.818%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 09:40 |
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 08:29 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 08:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Betsson | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -5.36%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 09:40 |
| ReBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 09:39 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 07:59 |
| BetAnything | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.14%E -3.93%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.14%E -3.93%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 05:00 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 09:40 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 04:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 04:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -6.47%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 09:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -7.29%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 09:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -7.29%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| GTbets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -0.799%E -0.584%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 09:39 |
| Neds | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 04:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 04:59 |
| BetUS | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.14%E -3.93%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Grosvenor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Casumo | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 08:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| TABtouch | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| BetRivers | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Bally Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 08:50 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 04:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| TAB | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 08:50 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 14:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 17:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 09:58 |
| NordicBet | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%EV -12.81%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 09:50 |
| Caesars | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -17.23%E -5.74%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.52%E -1.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 22:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Novig | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 1.7% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| ProphetX | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |