La scuola delle quote

Marton Fucsovics v Learner Tien

Inizio: 2026-07-01 10:13 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Marton Fucsovics (Casa)

Previsione 27.59%3.62quota equa
EV +0.707%
Vantaggio +0.194%
Kelly +0.267%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.38%27.80%27.66%31.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.373.353.6533.33%29.70%29.85%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Learner Tien (Trasferta)

Previsione 72.41%1.38quota equa
EV -0.799%
Vantaggio -0.584%
Kelly -2.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.81%72.20%72.34%73.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.321.321.3777.52%75.66%75.76%72.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV +0.707%E +0.194%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.673%E -0.187%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.673%E -0.187%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Pinnacle3.59I 27.86%NM 27.18%EV -0.949%E -0.264%K -0.366%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.82%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 10:00
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.05%E -0.578%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 10:00
SportsBet3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -2.88%E -0.818%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 09:40
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 08:29
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 08:30
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 10:00
PointsBet (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 10:00
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 10:00
Betsson3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -5.36%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:00
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 09:40
ReBet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 09:39
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 07:59
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 08:49
Betclic (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.14%E -3.93%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:59
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.14%E -3.93%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 05:00
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 09:40
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 04:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 04:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
1xBet3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -6.47%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 09:50
MyBookie.ag3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -7.29%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 09:40
Marathon Bet3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -7.29%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 09:30
GTbets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -0.799%E -0.584%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:39
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 04:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 04:59
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.14%E -3.93%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 10:00
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-01 10:00
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:50
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:49
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 08:50
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 10:00
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 04:50
Hard Rock Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 08:49
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 08:50
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 14:29
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 08:49
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 08:49
Dabble (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 09:59
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 17:19
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 08:49
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 09:58
NordicBet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%EV -12.81%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 09:50
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -17.23%E -5.74%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.52%E -1.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 22:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%0.9%2026-07-01 10:00
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%0.9%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%0.9%2026-07-01 10:00
Novig3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%1.7%2026-07-01 10:00
ProphetX3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%1.9%2026-07-01 10:00
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-07-01 10:00