StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lorenzo Sonego v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Matchstart: 2026-06-30 14:35 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lorenzo Sonego (Hemma)

Prognos 53.73%1.86rättvist odds
EV -0.058%
Fördel -0.031%
Kelly -0.067%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.86

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.18%53.83%53.66%55.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.701.761.771.8658.82%56.80%56.50%53.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Borta)

Prognos 46.27%2.16rättvist odds
EV -0.987%
Fördel -0.461%
Kelly -0.866%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.14

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.88%46.17%46.34%48.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.952.052.052.1451.28%48.83%48.78%46.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Lorenzo Sonego (Hemma): 53.73%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Borta): 46.27%. För Lorenzo Sonego (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.861. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 1.860, med väntevärdet -0.058%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
MyBookie.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -0.058%E -0.031%K -0.067%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -9.78%E -5.01%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 14:28
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -2.21%E -1.21%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.69%E -2.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 14:29
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 14:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.23%E -2.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 14:24
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.23%E -2.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 14:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 14:24
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 14:29
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:29
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -0.987%E -0.461%K -0.866%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 14:30
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:30
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
LeoVegas🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:29
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:30
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.54%E -3.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 14:29
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 14:29
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 14:30
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.76%E -1.81%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 14:29
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:30
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:29
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:29
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.54%E -3.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 14:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.54%E -3.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 14:29
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -7.00%E -3.48%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 14:29
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -7.00%E -3.48%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 14:29
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 14:29
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 14:29
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.23%E -2.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 14:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.23%E -2.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 14:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:30
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 14:29
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.51%E -3.74%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.91%E -0.902%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 14:29
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.51%E -3.74%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:29
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:29
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:29
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 14:29
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 14:29
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 14:22
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 14:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 14:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 14:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -9.78%E -5.01%K -10.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 14:29
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.12%E -4.75%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 14:29
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 14:29
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 14:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 14:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-30 14:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-30 14:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-30 14:30
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-30 14:30
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-06-30 14:30
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.5%2026-06-30 14:29
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-06-30 14:30