Lorenzo Sonego v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Inicio: 2026-06-30 14:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

54%

46%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Lorenzo Sonego (Local)

Predicción 53.73%1.86momio equitativo

EV -0.058%

Ventaja -0.031%

Kelly -0.067%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

51.18%53.83%53.66%55.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.701.761.771.8658.82%56.80%56.50%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante)

Predicción 46.27%2.16momio equitativo

EV -0.987%

Ventaja -0.461%

Kelly -0.866%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

44.88%46.17%46.34%48.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.952.052.052.1451.28%48.83%48.78%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
MyBookie.ag	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -0.058%E -0.031%K -0.067%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -9.78%E -5.01%K -10.29%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-30 14:28
Winamax (DE)	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -2.21%E -1.21%K -2.69%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (UK)	1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.69%E -2.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-06-30 14:29
Coolbet	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-06-30 14:24
Codere (IT)	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.23%E -2.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-06-30 14:24
ReBet	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.23%E -2.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-06-30 14:24
Unibet (FR)	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-30 14:24
BoyleSports	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-30 14:29
William Hill	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
Pinnacle	1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -0.987%E -0.461%K -0.866%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-06-30 14:30
Unibet	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
TABtouch	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:30
Grosvenor	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
LeoVegas	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
Casumo	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
BetRivers	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (NL)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (SE)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
Svenska Spel	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
betPARX	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
ATG (SE)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
Bally Bet	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-30 14:30
DraftKings	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.54%E -3.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-30 14:29
Winamax (FR)	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-30 14:29
Bovada	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-30 14:29
SportsBet	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-30 14:30
FanDuel	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.76%E -1.81%K -3.48%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
Fanatics	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-30 14:30
theScore Bet	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-30 14:29
Hard Rock Bet	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-30 14:29
BetAnything	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
Caesars	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
Betr (AU)	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
LiveScore Bet	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.54%E -3.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-30 14:29
Virgin Bet	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.54%E -3.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-30 14:29
Betsson	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -7.00%E -3.48%K -6.93%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
NordicBet	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -7.00%E -3.48%K -6.93%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
Betway	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-30 14:29
TAB	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-30 14:29
GTbets	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.23%E -2.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
Marathon Bet	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.23%E -2.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
PointsBet (AU)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 14:29
Everygame	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 14:30
PlayUp	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 14:29
PMU (FR)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-30 14:29
1xBet	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.51%E -3.74%K -8.79%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.91%E -0.902%K -1.71%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
BetUS	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.51%E -3.74%K -8.79%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-30 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-30 14:29
Neds	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-30 14:29
betfred_uk	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-30 14:29
Paddy Power	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-30 14:29
Sky Bet	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-30 14:29
Bet Victor	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-30 14:22
Tipico (DE)	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-30 14:29
Dabble (AU)	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-06-30 14:29
NetBet (FR)	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-06-30 14:29
Betclic (FR)	1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -9.78%E -5.01%K -10.29%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-06-30 14:29
BetMGM	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.12%E -4.75%K -11.43%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-30 14:29
888sport	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
Coral	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
Mr Green (SE)	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-30 14:29
888sport (SE)	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-30 14:29

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%	0.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%	0.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%	0.5%	2026-06-30 14:30
Matchbook	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%	0.5%	2026-06-30 14:30
ProphetX	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%	2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%	1.0%	2026-06-30 14:30
Novig	1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%	1.5%	2026-06-30 14:29
Smarkets	1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%	2.3%	2026-06-30 14:30